Commander, USAINSCOM SPT Bn (PROV), Attn: IASB-DCO, 8825 Beulah Street, Fort Belvoir, VA 22060-5246

70 -- MARKET SURVEY/COMMERCIAL AVAILABILITY-COMPUTER SIMULATION MODEL FORECASTING POC Linda C. Wallis, (703)706-2779, Gail G. Gilchrist, (703)706-1710 WEB: N/A,. E-MAIL: N/A, lcwalli@vulcan.belvoir.army.mil. THIS IS A MARKET SURVEY ONLY -- NO SOLICITATION EXISTS. This market survey is being conducted in order to determine the commercial availability (or nondevelopmental items availability) of a computer simulation model similar to the GLOBUS model currently used by the National Ground Intelligene Center, Charlottesville, VA. GLOBUS is a computer simulation model of many important macropolitical and macroeconomic relationships within and among 33 prominent contemporary nations, plus a rest-of-world entity. The variables in the relationships are entered into the model for a baseline year. The variables include a wide variety of open source indicators such as: GDP growth rates, international trade, demographics growth, domestic political participation, military spending, etc. The baseline data are linked to each other, both within and between countries, using ordinary differential equations and an integrating algorithm in a fashion that mimics their relationships in the real world. The model can then mathematically derive macroeconomic and macropolitical trends on an annual bsis, out 40 years in the future, in either a static or custom forecast. The static forecast is one which maintains all of the variables in the baseline and simply manipulates the equations without changing any of the assumptions. A custom forecast occurs when the analyst alters one or more of the variables within one or more countries to mathematically derive an "alternative" future. This allows the analyst to change "assumptions" about the future and see mathematically how changes on one or more of the variables impacts the other variables and other countries. GLOBUS allows the analyst to mathematically test his or her hypothesis on the impact of changing variables in one or more countries. Please provde information on the commercial items which would be sufficient to enable the government to determine whether or not your product meets the government's needs. Attach literature and specification information: (1) Is the item customarily available in the commercial marketplace? (2) Does the item require modification in order to meet the Government's requirement. If so, provide your customary practices regarding customizing, modifying or tailoring of items to meet the government's needs. (3) Is the item used exclusively for government purposes? (4) Is the product a foreign manufactured product? (5)Business size. (6) Provide a list of potential suppliers. (7) Are the items available under existing government contracts. (8) Best Price offered and ordering information. Provide the information by 31 January 1997. THIS IS A MARKET SURVEY ONLY -- NO SOLICIATION EXISTS.**** (0009)

Loren Data Corp. http://www.ld.com (SYN# 0333 19970113\70-0006.SOL)